2009 NCAA S&P RATINGS, OFFENSE

through games of 1/7/10

The S&P+ Ratings are a college football ratings system derived from the play-by-play data of all 800+ of a season's FBS college football games (and 140,000+ plays). There are three key components to the S&P+:

Success Rate: A common Football Outsiders tool used to measure efficiency by determining whether every play of a given game was successful or not. The terms of success in college football: 50 percent of necessary yardage on first down, 70 percent on second down, and 100 percent on third and fourth down.
EqPts Per Play (PPP): An explosiveness measure derived from determining the point value of every yard line (based on the expected number of points an offense could expect to score from that yard line) and, therefore, every play of a given game.
Opponent adjustments: Success Rate and PPP combine to form S&P, an OPS-like measure for football. Then each team's S&P output for a given category (Rushing/Passing on either Standard Downs or Passing Downs) is compared to the expected output based upon their opponents and their opponents' opponents. This is a schedule-based adjustment designed to reward tougher schedules and punish weaker ones.

The S&P+ figures used in the tables below only look at the plays that took place while a game was deemed "close," or competitive. The criteria for being "close" are as follows: a game within 24 points in the first quarter, with 21 points in the second quarter, and within 16 points in the second half.

Passing Downs are defined as:

second down with 8 or more yards to go
third or fourth down with 5 or more yards to go

All other downs are Standard Downs.

Please note that in the split of rushing and passing S&P+, sacks are counted as passes, as in NFL data, and not runs as in official NCAA totals.

Use the menu above for pages that give more details on total and defensive S&P+, or our other college football ratings, the drive-based FEI.

RK	TEAM	RECORD	OFF. S&P+	LAST WK	CHANGE	RUSH. OFF.	RK	PASS. OFF.	RK	STD. DOWNS	RK	PASS. DOWNS	RK
1	Cincinnati	12-1	134.5	2	1	134.5	5	140.5	7	127.3	10	156.8	1
2	Virginia Tech	10-3	134.0	3	1	136.3	3	146.9	3	130.7	3	131.6	21
3	Arkansas	8-5	130.1	1	-2	113.4	31	152.8	1	128.9	6	135.8	13
4	TCU	12-1	129.9	5	1	126.6	11	146.0	4	124.9	11	132.6	19
5	Alabama	14-0	129.6	9	4	125.7	13	145.6	5	124.4	13	139.8	11
6	Florida	13-1	129.0	8	2	138.4	2	128.9	15	131.4	2	143.7	8
7	Georgia Tech	11-3	128.2	7	0	135.2	4	127.4	16	129.0	5	148.4	3
8	BYU	11-2	126.2	4	-4	110.7	37	147.2	2	128.4	7	126.5	26
9	Florida State	7-6	126.2	15	6	139.0	1	122.8	20	128.3	8	143.0	10
10	Stanford	8-5	125.9	11	1	132.4	8	130.1	11	132.3	1	130.3	23
11	Oregon	10-3	124.4	14	3	133.3	7	121.9	22	122.9	14	138.2	12
12	Miami-FL	9-4	124.3	10	-2	128.1	9	129.2	14	130.5	4	121.4	32
13	Texas	13-1	124.1	12	-1	127.3	10	129.4	12	120.0	16	151.6	2
14	Tennessee	7-6	123.9	16	2	116.5	27	142.0	6	127.8	9	144.3	6
15	Texas A&M	6-7	123.2	6	-9	133.9	6	120.5	24	113.9	30	145.5	5
16	Houston	10-4	123.2	17	1	124.6	15	124.0	18	117.0	22	143.6	9
17	Penn State	11-2	121.8	13	-4	126.3	12	126.7	17	118.9	17	133.1	17
18	Wisconsin	10-3	119.9	19	1	123.1	17	130.2	10	121.7	15	122.6	30
19	Auburn	8-5	117.7	18	-1	120.8	19	123.5	19	124.6	12	129.3	24
20	Pittsburgh	10-3	115.8	23	3	123.3	16	118.9	26	115.4	25	124.7	29
RK	TEAM	RECORD	OFF. S&P+	LAST WK	CHANGE	RUSH. OFF.	RK	PASS. OFF.	RK	STD. DOWNS	RK	PASS. DOWNS	RK
21	Nevada	8-5	115.0	20	-1	125.4	14	107.4	51	116.8	23	133.0	18
22	Texas Tech	9-4	114.8	24	2	116.6	26	117.5	28	118.5	19	143.9	7
23	Michigan State	6-7	114.6	22	-1	101.4	72	135.6	8	114.3	27	120.5	36
24	Boise State	14-0	114.0	28	4	108.5	44	129.2	13	118.6	18	115.3	43
25	Notre Dame	6-6	112.7	25	0	109.6	38	122.7	21	114.3	28	126.0	27
26	Ohio State	11-2	112.5	29	3	117.2	23	118.3	27	112.2	33	106.9	52
27	Missouri	8-5	111.0	26	-1	108.7	43	119.8	25	114.0	29	104.9	58
28	USC	9-4	110.7	32	4	122.2	18	109.1	47	114.9	26	120.5	37
29	Georgia	8-5	110.7	21	-8	98.8	75	134.1	9	110.0	38	133.6	16
30	LSU	9-4	110.1	40	10	108.8	42	120.9	23	113.6	31	115.1	44
31	Kansas	5-7	110.0	27	-4	106.1	48	115.8	32	117.4	20	131.4	22
32	Michigan	5-7	109.5	30	-2	119.0	21	110.0	44	110.3	36	120.8	34
33	Connecticut	8-5	109.1	31	-2	117.1	24	110.6	42	105.8	53	148.0	4
34	Colorado State	3-9	108.9	35	1	117.0	25	111.2	40	112.8	32	96.6	81
35	Florida Atlantic	5-7	108.7	34	-1	107.6	45	116.6	31	99.0	76	135.3	14
36	Troy	9-4	108.3	39	3	104.8	53	115.1	33	102.0	64	121.3	33
37	Mississippi State	5-7	107.7	36	-1	118.8	22	93.4	85	115.6	24	96.3	83
38	Oregon State	8-5	107.3	33	-5	109.3	40	112.5	37	108.0	48	118.8	39
39	NC State	5-7	107.1	37	-2	102.4	61	116.9	30	106.3	50	132.0	20
40	Baylor	4-8	106.4	41	1	111.0	33	109.2	46	109.5	39	125.0	28
RK	TEAM	RECORD	OFF. S&P+	LAST WK	CHANGE	RUSH. OFF.	RK	PASS. OFF.	RK	STD. DOWNS	RK	PASS. DOWNS	RK
41	Arizona	8-5	106.4	43	2	108.9	41	110.8	41	109.2	41	115.5	42
42	Utah	10-3	104.7	46	4	106.0	49	112.4	38	108.7	44	100.8	67
43	Kentucky	7-6	104.5	44	1	114.1	30	97.5	75	108.2	46	110.7	48
44	California	8-5	104.3	52	8	104.7	54	112.5	36	117.3	21	88.0	98
45	West Virginia	9-4	104.3	42	-3	120.5	20	96.6	79	108.7	43	101.1	66
46	Fresno State	8-5	104.0	47	1	110.9	35	110.0	43	101.8	65	107.9	50
47	Idaho	7-6	103.6	56	9	98.7	76	117.1	29	104.4	57	127.4	25
48	Clemson	9-5	103.4	53	5	111.5	32	103.3	60	110.8	35	105.6	55
49	South Carolina	7-6	103.4	38	-11	102.1	65	112.6	35	104.3	58	114.7	45
50	Iowa State	7-6	103.3	54	4	105.3	50	108.9	48	110.1	37	95.1	84
51	Indiana	4-8	103.1	51	0	103.3	58	111.4	39	104.1	59	119.6	38
52	Ole Miss	9-4	102.9	48	-4	110.8	36	101.8	63	108.5	45	111.3	47
53	Purdue	5-7	102.2	50	-3	104.1	56	105.6	58	108.8	42	100.7	68
54	Central Michigan	12-2	102.1	55	1	101.6	71	109.2	45	107.7	49	99.2	70
55	UAB	5-7	102.0	57	2	115.4	29	99.5	72	104.4	56	113.5	46
56	Oklahoma	8-5	101.9	45	-11	94.3	88	114.6	34	101.3	67	134.3	15
57	Hawaii	6-7	101.1	59	2	116.5	28	100.2	70	100.0	73	101.9	61
58	Wake Forest	5-7	101.0	62	4	99.8	74	106.9	54	99.2	75	116.6	41
59	Oklahoma State	9-4	100.4	49	-10	102.3	63	108.5	50	106.0	52	101.8	62
60	Toledo	5-7	100.1	58	-2	101.8	68	106.4	57	101.4	66	120.8	35
RK	TEAM	RECORD	OFF. S&P+	LAST WK	CHANGE	RUSH. OFF.	RK	PASS. OFF.	RK	STD. DOWNS	RK	PASS. DOWNS	RK
61	Bowling Green	7-6	100.0	61	0	93.4	91	107.1	53	96.2	82	121.7	31
62	Southern Miss	7-6	99.2	72	10	101.7	70	106.7	55	106.2	51	101.4	64
63	North Texas	2-10	99.0	66	3	110.9	34	93.7	83	109.3	40	83.0	106
64	Illinois	3-9	99.0	60	-4	104.9	52	101.1	67	111.8	34	93.1	90
65	Syracuse	4-8	98.9	63	-2	102.3	62	102.8	61	108.1	47	81.2	108
66	Navy	10-4	98.7	70	4	106.5	47	101.6	65	105.7	54	96.4	82
67	UNLV	5-7	98.4	67	0	101.9	66	101.2	66	100.2	72	108.1	49
68	East Carolina	9-5	98.1	64	-4	109.4	39	97.1	76	102.0	63	99.1	71
69	Washington	5-7	98.0	65	-4	102.3	64	100.3	69	105.4	55	118.2	40
70	UTEP	4-8	97.9	68	-2	107.0	46	96.7	77	102.9	61	96.8	80
71	South Florida	8-5	96.4	69	-2	102.5	60	99.4	73	98.4	78	105.0	57
72	Tulsa	5-7	95.8	73	1	95.8	82	101.8	62	94.5	84	99.0	72
73	Temple	9-4	95.7	76	3	102.8	59	93.4	84	99.5	74	97.8	76
74	Northwestern	8-5	95.4	75	1	88.0	101	108.6	49	93.0	91	106.1	53
75	Buffalo	5-7	94.6	71	-4	95.1	84	101.6	64	100.9	68	90.5	92
76	Air Force	8-5	93.9	80	4	100.7	73	92.0	87	98.7	77	85.0	103
77	Iowa	11-2	93.8	74	-3	95.6	83	100.5	68	100.4	70	97.6	77
78	Utah State	4-8	93.5	79	1	96.5	80	98.6	74	94.6	83	107.9	51
79	Northern Illinois	7-6	91.9	78	-1	95.1	85	99.5	71	93.9	90	98.5	74
80	Marshall	7-6	91.9	77	-3	101.9	67	90.3	90	92.5	94	89.7	94
RK	TEAM	RECORD	OFF. S&P+	LAST WK	CHANGE	RUSH. OFF.	RK	PASS. OFF.	RK	STD. DOWNS	RK	PASS. DOWNS	RK
81	Boston College	8-5	91.4	83	2	86.7	103	104.4	59	94.4	87	101.7	63
82	Louisiana Tech	4-8	90.8	82	0	97.3	78	91.9	88	91.1	98	93.9	88
83	Maryland	2-10	90.2	81	-2	90.2	100	96.6	78	94.4	85	98.9	73
84	Middle Tennessee	10-3	89.7	95	11	97.7	77	86.8	96	88.7	99	94.8	86
85	Kansas State	6-6	89.5	86	1	94.5	87	89.8	92	100.3	71	94.9	85
86	Minnesota	6-7	89.4	84	-2	92.0	96	94.5	80	97.3	80	93.9	87
87	Nebraska	10-4	89.4	88	1	92.8	93	92.7	86	100.8	69	103.4	60
88	Duke	5-7	89.0	90	2	64.4	120	107.3	52	88.0	101	105.2	56
89	Louisville	4-8	89.0	85	-4	101.7	69	85.5	99	94.0	89	104.6	59
90	San Diego State	4-8	88.4	93	3	69.2	118	106.7	56	86.0	107	105.9	54
91	UL-Monroe	6-6	88.4	87	-4	93.2	92	90.9	89	91.5	96	101.3	65
92	Virginia	3-9	87.9	91	-1	105.2	51	79.1	111	103.8	60	72.5	115
93	New Mexico	1-11	87.9	94	1	94.9	86	88.3	94	91.4	97	81.4	107
94	Wyoming	7-6	87.7	89	-5	94.0	89	88.4	93	85.4	109	97.2	78
95	Memphis	2-10	87.7	92	-3	103.4	57	81.5	104	102.3	62	89.2	96
96	Central Florida	8-5	86.6	99	3	92.2	94	87.6	95	92.8	92	85.8	101
97	North Carolina	8-5	86.3	101	4	96.1	81	84.4	103	87.2	103	86.7	99
98	UL-Lafayette	6-6	85.6	98	0	84.2	109	94.0	81	86.0	108	90.4	93
99	SMU	8-5	85.3	107	8	91.2	98	85.4	101	97.2	81	73.3	114
100	UCLA	7-6	85.3	96	-4	86.2	105	90.0	91	94.4	86	84.9	104
RK	TEAM	RECORD	OFF. S&P+	LAST WK	CHANGE	RUSH. OFF.	RK	PASS. OFF.	RK	STD. DOWNS	RK	PASS. DOWNS	RK
101	Rutgers	9-4	84.7	111	10	96.8	79	81.4	105	97.5	79	68.5	117
102	Western Michigan	5-7	83.6	100	-2	86.8	102	85.2	102	87.2	102	88.2	97
103	Tulane	3-9	82.9	105	2	86.6	104	85.5	100	87.0	104	77.4	109
104	Western Kentucky	0-12	82.8	104	0	104.5	55	65.0	116	88.2	100	86.5	100
105	Colorado	3-9	82.6	102	-3	91.1	99	81.1	107	86.2	106	99.9	69
106	Akron	3-9	82.3	103	-3	92.0	95	79.5	110	92.6	93	84.3	105
107	Vanderbilt	2-10	82.1	106	-1	93.9	90	75.0	113	86.4	105	89.7	95
108	Ohio	9-5	82.0	97	-11	76.6	114	93.8	82	80.7	114	97.9	75
109	Arkansas State	4-8	81.7	108	-1	82.7	110	85.8	98	94.3	88	76.7	110
110	Miami-OH	1-11	80.3	109	-1	85.9	106	81.1	106	84.8	110	93.8	89
111	Florida International	3-9	80.3	110	-1	78.8	112	86.2	97	84.4	112	96.8	79
112	Arizona State	4-8	76.6	112	0	84.5	108	76.0	112	91.5	95	74.6	111
113	Eastern Michigan	1-11	76.5	113	0	91.7	97	66.0	115	80.5	115	85.4	102
114	San Jose State	2-10	75.4	114	0	76.0	115	79.8	108	77.3	117	73.8	112
115	Kent State	5-7	72.8	115	0	70.7	116	79.7	109	82.6	113	69.4	116
116	Ball State	2-10	71.8	116	0	84.7	107	62.5	118	74.5	119	93.0	91
117	Rice	2-10	70.6	117	0	82.3	111	66.1	114	84.7	111	73.4	113
118	Army	4-8	68.3	118	0	76.8	113	62.6	117	74.8	118	59.5	118
119	New Mexico State	4-9	56.7	119	0	69.6	117	43.3	120	67.5	120	47.2	120
120	Washington State	1-11	50.6	120	0	66.4	119	43.4	119	78.4	116	47.8	119