Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

Football Outsiders Features

Walkthrough: Click at Your Own Risk

Today's NFL prospect must worry about more than just the 40 and the Wonderlic. There's cyber-smearing, identity theft, social networking run amok, and potential privacy invasions. A team of privacy lawyers helps Mike Tanier understand how prsopects can prevent Internet disasters.

55 comments, Last Comment at 4:03pm by jbrown

Mar 10, 2010 11:06am by Mike Tanier || read all Walkthrough articles

1993 DVOA Ratings and Commentary

Two weeks ago, Jerry Rice and Emmitt Smith were elected to the Hall of Fame. Sixteen years ago, they battled for NFL supremacy. Revisit their prime seasons, and learn about the weird rollercoaster ride of the 1993 Houston Oilers, as we add another year of DVOA to our database.

70 comments, Last Comment at 20 Feb 2010, 5:08am by Mike19531

Feb 16, 2010 04:16pm by Aaron Schatz || read all DVOA Rankings and Analysis articles

Super Bowl XLIV Quick Reads

Before running down DYAR numbers from Super Bowl XLIV, Bill Barnwell gives his thoughts on Sean Payton's aggressive and intelligent play calls.

85 comments, Last Comment at 11 Feb 2010, 11:40am by imafreak

Feb 08, 2010 10:24pm GMT by Bill Barnwell || read all Quick Reads articles

Cover-3: Super Bowl Edition

In the Cover-3 season finale, Doug Farrar details the best quarter-million Sean Payton ever spent, why the extra "g" in Gregg Williams' name may indeed stand for genius, and how the Saints enhance their protection concepts.

10 comments, Last Comment at 02 Feb 2010, 11:42pm by mediator12

Feb 01, 2010 11:45am by Doug Farrar || read all Cover-3 articles

Scramble for the Ball: Wrap Party

Your Scramble writers wrap up the postseason's loose ends, hand out Super Bowl awards, and review the best of Sunday's commercials.

45 comments, Last Comment at 15 Feb 2010, 6:56pm by Raiderjoe

Feb 10, 2010 11:45am by Mike Kurtz || read all Scramble articles

Black and Blue Report: January 14, 2010

Will Carroll triumphantly returns with a look at the remaining playoff teams, and how their injuries affect the road to the Super Bowl.

20 comments, Last Comment at 15 Jan 2010, 1:39pm by Scott C

Jan 14, 2010 03:18pm by Will Carroll || read all Black And Blue articles

Audibles at the Line: Super Bowl XLIV

The Saints are champions. FO breaks down the game with analysis of the gutsy calls, the big mistakes, and the interception that broke Twitter.

258 comments, Last Comment at 14 Feb 2010, 8:52pm by tuluse

Feb 08, 2010 01:47am GMT by Bill Barnwell || read all Audibles articles

Final 2009 FEI Ratings

After toppling Texas, Alabama is a clear-cut No. 1, but there are plenty of surprises in the final FEI ratings after that. Brian Fremeau discusses the peculiarities of a season that left us wondering and wanting more.

88 comments, Last Comment at 16 Jan 2010, 3:14pm by Jeff Fogle

Jan 12, 2010 01:55pm by Brian Fremeau || read all Fremeau Efficiency Ratings Articles

One Foot Inbounds: Texas Toast

McCoy makes an early exit with a shoulder injury, and Alabama holds off a fourth-quarter comeback to win.

112 comments, Last Comment at 3:46am by Nike Dunk

Jan 08, 2010 01:12am by Robert Weintraub || read all One Foot Inbounds articles

BCS Championship Preview + Live Blog

Brian, Rob and Bill give you an in-depth look at tonight's BCS title game. Can Colt McCoy cap his career with a title, or do the favored Tide have the edge? Come back at 8pm for a Cover It Live in-game blog.

10 comments, Last Comment at 07 Jan 2010, 7:19pm by Will Allen

Jan 07, 2010 05:52am by Bill Connelly || read all 7th Day Adventure articles

Varsity Numbers: Recruiting Spectacular

More than ever, schools and fans are obsessing over college football recruiting. But how much impact does recruiting have on a team's success on the field in the fall? Bill Connelly explores this question in Varsity Numbers.

33 comments, Last Comment at 22 Feb 2010, 7:15pm by Jeff Fogle

Feb 19, 2010 12:00pm by Bill Connelly || read all Varsity Numbers articles

Under the Cap: Pre-Combine Moves

J.I. Halsell explains what is happening with Joey Porter and Brian Westbrook, why the Saints might be inclined to let Darren Sharper walk, and clarifies the "Upgraded Tender."

16 comments, Last Comment at 26 Feb 2010, 10:52pm by Brendan Scolari

Feb 24, 2010 06:28pm by J.I. Halsell || read all Under The Cap articles

This Week in Quotes: March 5, 2010

The Week in Quotes takes a look at the best comments from the 2010 NFL Scouting Combine.

17 comments, Last Comment at 09 Mar 2010, 4:25pm by masoch

Mar 05, 2010 04:26pm by Rory Hickey || read all The Week in Quotes articles

Innovative Statistics

2009 TEAM EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonEstimated Wins
1BAL32.5% 1BAL12.1
2GB30.3% 2NO11.6
3PHI28.6% 3DAL11.3
4NE28.3% 4NE11.2
5DAL26.0% 5GB11.0
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 17

2009 OFFENSE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1NE29.7% 1SD28.7%
2NO27.6% 2NE26.8%
3DAL24.2% 3GB25.6%
4GB22.5% 4NO24.3%
5SD21.8% 5DAL22.7%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 17

2009 DEFENSE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1NYJ-23.4% 1NYJ-26.8%
2GB-14.0% 2CAR-18.7%
3BAL-13.6% 3GB-17.9%
4SF-12.3% 4SF-14.4%
5CAR-11.6% 5BAL-12.4%
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2009 SPECIAL TEAMS RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1CLE8.8% 1CLE8.3%
2PHI4.3% 2TB5.2%
3MIN4.2% 3PHI4.0%
4CHI4.0% 4BAL3.6%
5TB3.1% 5STL3.5%
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QUARTERBACKS 2009

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1T.BradyNE2,170 1P.RiversSD46.1%
2P.ManningIND1,932 2T.BradyNE44.1%
3P.RiversSD1,919 3D.BreesNO41.0%
4D.BreesNO1,846 4B.FavreMIN39.0%
5B.FavreMIN1,803 5P.ManningIND38.1%
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RUNNING BACKS 2009

Rush DYAR Leaders
(Total Value)
Rush DVOA Leaders
(Value per Play)
Rec DYAR Leaders
(Total Value)
1C.JohnsonTEN343 1P.ThomasNO25.9% 1D.SprolesSD181
2R.GrantGB251 2J.CharlesKC20.4% 2S.SlatonHOU167
3R.RiceBAL241 3W.McGaheeBAL19.6% 3R.RiceBAL128
4J.CharlesKC233 4J.ForsettSEA18.4% 4K.SmithDET126
5P.ThomasNO220 5F.JonesDAL17.0% 5F.JacksonBUF124
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WIDE RECEIVERS 2009

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1S.RiceMIN476 1V.JacksonSD39.6%
2V.JacksonSD452 2R.MeachemNO39.2%
3W.WelkerNE423 3S.RiceMIN35.4%
4M.AustinDAL397 4M.WallacePIT29.7%
5R.MossNE395 5M.AustinDAL28.4%
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TIGHT ENDS 2009

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1A.GatesSD358 1B.WatsonNE49.3%
2D.ClarkIND261 2A.GatesSD38.4%
3V.ShiancoeMIN226 3V.ShiancoeMIN33.7%
4J.WittenDAL216 4O.DanielsHOU27.4%
5B.CelekPHI201 5T.HeapBAL27.4%
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DVOA PLAYOFF ODDS REPORT

SUPER BOWL ODDS
New Orleans: 52.2%
Indianapolis: 47.8%

Most Recent Articles

11 Mar 2010, 11:12am by Bill Barnwell

Wisdom of Crowds in Review: RB

Before the 2009 season, we used Twitter to see what the public thought of some selected players. Learn what we all got wrong, and which breakout sophomore the FO readers pegged with surprising accuracy.

» More...

29 comments, Last at 5:34pm by pm

10 Mar 2010, 11:06am by Mike Tanier

Walkthrough: Click at Your Own Risk

Today's NFL prospect must worry about more than just the 40 and the Wonderlic. There's cyber-smearing, identity theft, social networking run amok, and potential privacy invasions. A team of privacy lawyers helps Mike Tanier understand how prsopects can prevent Internet disasters.

» More...

55 comments, Last at 4:03pm by jbrown

09 Mar 2010, 11:14am by Bill Barnwell

ESPN: Ten Should-Be Cap Casualties

This week's ESPN feature is on which teams should be using the uncapped year to jettison underproductive players.

» More...

9 comments, Last at 4:42pm by staubach

08 Mar 2010, 11:06am by Bill Barnwell

Wisdom of Crowds in Review: QB

Before the 2009 season, we used Twitter to see what the public thought of some selected players. Now, with the season finished, we'll review those predictions and analyze what went right or wrong, starting with quarterbacks.

» More...

63 comments, Last at 12:09pm by Jon Coit

05 Mar 2010, 04:26pm by Rory Hickey

This Week in Quotes: March 5, 2010

The Week in Quotes takes a look at the best comments from the 2010 NFL Scouting Combine.

» More...

17 comments, Last at 09 Mar 2010, 4:25pm by masoch

05 Mar 2010, 03:59pm by Bill Barnwell

FO Free Agent Day Chat Archive

Check out the archive of our free agent chat here.

» More...

6 comments, Last at 08 Mar 2010, 1:10pm by ChaosOnion

04 Mar 2010, 10:24am by Aaron Schatz

2009 Football Outsiders Awards

The seventh annual FO reader awards spotlight the real Defensive Player of the Year, along with special FO-only categories like most overrated, most underrated, and funniest moment of 2009.

» More...

181 comments, Last at 4:48am by Big Johnson

03 Mar 2010, 11:00am by Aaron Schatz

Four Downs: AFC East

In this AFC East review, it's defense, defense, defense. The Bills try a transition to the 3-4, the Dolphins hope Mike Nolan can work his magic on their team next year, and the Patriots wonder what to do with Vince Wilfork.

» More...

25 comments, Last at 09 Mar 2010, 12:32pm by commissionerleaf

02 Mar 2010, 12:25pm by Sean McCormick

Four Downs: NFC East

In this NFC East preview: The Cowboys hope to stay healthy again, the Giants try to put the pieces together on defense, the Eagles have another quarterback controversy, and Mike Shanahan tries to do the impossible: fix the Redskins.

» More...

93 comments, Last at 04 Mar 2010, 6:16pm by Nathan

01 Mar 2010, 03:16pm by Bill Barnwell

ESPN: Speed Score 2010

Fresh off the presses, our Speed Score article reveals the sleeper back of the 2010 class (it's Ben Tate), and provides a list of middling comparables for C.J. Spiller.

» More...

29 comments, Last at 03 Mar 2010, 9:32am by jebmak

01 Mar 2010, 12:26pm by Doug Farrar

FO Sunday Combine Report

Doug Farrar wraps up another year at the Combine with two quarterback reports from the inner sanctum, and a talk with John Clayton about the NFL's impending labor drama.

» More...

11 comments, Last at 02 Mar 2010, 9:54pm by Theo

28 Feb 2010, 08:38am by Doug Farrar

FO Saturday Combine Report

In Saturday's Combine review: Dexter McCluster has the wind at his back, Rex Ryan is all he's cracked up to be, and LeCharles Bentley re-emerges.

» More...

18 comments, Last at 28 Feb 2010, 10:46pm by Dales